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Tag Archives: David Cameron

Watching Gordon Brown’s attempt at a premiership is becoming embarrassing. You can’t help but feel sorry for someone that has wanted the job for so long and yet is struggling so. Brown is like Derby County. He has got to where he wants to be and being there is enough: being in power, being able to go on television as the Prime Minister and stand as a world figure. He can stand in front of us as the father of the nation. Just as Derby County can boast to be part of the greatest league in the world. Boast to be among the big boys and in doing so kid themselves that they are important. They can kid themselves that they are successful.

In both cases they are failing because they achieved their aim without any clear-cut vision and idea of what they want to do there. Having spent his first ten years of power plotting against his own boss, aggrieved after being shunted at Granita, he has spent this time waiting to get in. Waiting to replace Tony. Waiting to be the one that struts the world stage and goes in the Today programme as the Prime Minister. Waiting to do what exactly? It is approaching a year of the Brown government and what has it done constructively since?

This lack of vision and direction is a result of Brown’s desperation to get into power. Effectively he tried to cheat the system. He didn’t become Prime Minister in the way that Tony Blair or Margaret Thatcher did. Or indeed how David Cameron would like to. He was already in government. He was in government because he was a chancellor of a Labour government in its third term. He did not face the test of election. Without this he skipped the first test of a politician’s vision for power, i.e. get those you’re going to rule agree first. The other major step that Brown skipped was a challenge to the leadership of his party. His vision and ideology were assumed from his time as chancellor, he did not have to prove this vision against another. Brown was desperate to get into power, yet he actively skipped the usual routines that test a candidate’s ability to rule. As his premiership shifts from crisis to crisis, from one attempted comeback to another, what is happening is the sort of test that he skipped before he got to power.

The usual tests for those that want to be in power are tested before the candidate gets to power. Brown tried to cheat the system, by getting into government on the back of another man’s leadership and by bullying the Labour Party into supporting him and no other candidates. Yet he cannot face the same tests. He is now facing the same test and failing. This is happening in a reverse of the usual process. Usually if a candidate fails these tests power is denied to them at the ballot box, either within a party or nationally. This time he has power first and is being tested later. The consequences are the same, he will either lose if and when his party forces him out or he will lose a general election.

This cheating attempt at power is why his leadership is failing so miserably. By embedding himself in power he is not embedded with the problems that affect people’s lives. He is embedded in Westminster, a surreal land that is not part of the real world. He wants to appear green, so he announces proposals and targets on plastic bags. He wants to appear as a tax cutter, so he abolished the ten pence tax rate and cuts the basic rate of income tax by two pence. He wants to appear tough on terror, so he proposes extending terrorism laws by fourteen days. These are the measures that have Brown in trouble and have resulted in the worst election results for a forty years. This has happened, not necessarily because the consequences are catastrophic, but because they designed to enhance Brown’s appearance. This is why the national leadership of the Labour Party is so out of touch.

They have no capacity to connect with voters, because Brown has sought to avoid connecting with voters in his obsessive quest for power. So suddenly he gets a shock when voters are telling him they are struggling to see why they should vote Labour. Brown has lost the base of the Labour heartland because his hubristic quest for power has taken them for granted. Brown will no longer be in power, just as Derby County will no longer be in the Premier League. They both got the ultimate goal, but once there had no idea what to do.

Watching Gordon Brown’s attempt at a premiership is becoming embarrassing. You can’t help but feel sorry for someone that has wanted the job for so long and yet is struggling so. Brown is like Derby County. He has got to where he wants to be and being there is enough: being in power, being able to go on television as the Prime Minister and stand as a world figure. He can stand in front of us as the father of the nation. Just as Derby County can boast to be part of the greatest league in the world. Boast to be among the big boys and in doing so kid themselves that they are important. They can kid themselves that they are successful.

In both cases they are failing because they achieved their aim without any clear-cut vision and idea of what they want to do there. Having spent his first ten years of power plotting against his own boss, aggrieved after being shunted at Granita, he has spent this time waiting to get in. Waiting to replace Tony. Waiting to be the one that struts the world stage and goes in the Today programme as the Prime Minister. Waiting to do what exactly? It is approaching a year of the Brown government and what has it done constructively since?

This lack of vision and direction is a result of Brown’s desperation to get into power. Effectively he tried to cheat the system. He didn’t become Prime Minister in the way that Tony Blair or Margaret Thatcher did. Or indeed how David Cameron would like to. He was already in government. He was in government because he was a chancellor of a Labour government in its third term. He did not face the test of election. Without this he skipped the first test of a politician’s vision for power, i.e. get those you’re going to rule agree first. The other major step that Brown skipped was a challenge to the leadership of his party. His vision and ideology were assumed from his time as chancellor, he did not have to prove this vision against another. Brown was desperate to get into power, yet he actively skipped the usual routines that test a candidate’s ability to rule. As his premiership shifts from crisis to crisis, from one attempted comeback to another, what is happening is the sort of test that he skipped before he got to power.

The usual tests for those that want to be in power are tested before the candidate gets to power. Brown tried to cheat the system, by getting into government on the back of another man’s leadership and by bullying the Labour Party into supporting him and no other candidates. Yet he cannot face the same tests. He is now facing the same test and failing. This is happening in a reverse of the usual process. Usually if a candidate fails these tests power is denied to them at the ballot box, either within a party or nationally. This time he has power first and is being tested later. The consequences are the same, he will either lose if and when his party forces him out or he will lose a general election.

This cheating attempt at power is why his leadership is failing so miserably. By embedding himself in power he is not embedded with the problems that affect people’s lives. He is embedded in Westminster, a surreal land that is not part of the real world. He wants to appear green, so he announces proposals and targets on plastic bags. He wants to appear as a tax cutter, so he abolished the ten pence tax rate and cuts the basic rate of income tax by two pence. He wants to appear tough on terror, so he proposes extending terrorism laws by fourteen days. These are the measures that have Brown in trouble and have resulted in the worst election results for a forty years. This has happened, not necessarily because the consequences are catastrophic, but because they designed to enhance Brown’s appearance. This is why the national leadership of the Labour Party is so out of touch.

They have no capacity to connect with voters, because Brown has sought to avoid connecting with voters in his obsessive quest for power. So suddenly he gets a shock when voters are telling him they are struggling to see why they should vote Labour. Brown has lost the base of the Labour heartland because his hubristic quest for power has taken them for granted. Brown will no longer be in power, just as Derby County will no longer be in the Premier League. They both got the ultimate goal, but once there had no idea what to do.

So the penny has finally dropped for Polly Toynbee, the long-winded and sometimes irritating comment veteran for The Guardian, that the great revival of socialism was not coming with the Brown premiership. Brown is in what can be informally termed as a spot of bother, both the economy and his opinion polls are only giving him bad news, whilst there is much discontent amongst his backbenchers. This all culminates in another national poll, which gives David Cameron’s Conservatives a 14 point lead and would send him straight into 10 Downing Street without the need to go begging to Nick Clegg to guarantee a working majority.

Wait a second there. I was told, not just by the weather vain Toynbee, but by others on the Labour left too, the likes of Diane Abbot, Ed Balls, Douglas Alexander, Peter Hain and others all gave assurances that “Gordon was the inevitable leader, who would be a great Prime Minister”. This message or variations on it were constantly spouted in political interviews and features, aligned to the assumption that Blair was an electoral liability.

That’s right. The only Labour leader to win, not two, but three consecutive terms. It was his leadership that took on the early confrontations and won them early on; because dropping clause four and taking on the hegemony of the unions in the Labour Party were long overdue reforms, where other “real Labour” leaders lacked the courage. These were not moves that made him popular because they were popular per se, but because they were the right things for party and country. Britain needed a moderate and effective Labour government after two decades of Tory rule. Blair delivered it and his popularity reflected this. Even in the latter days of this leadership when Iraq dominated his political image, his personal ratings dropped, he still lead the party to an unprecedented third term and saw off David Cameron’s honeymoon to hand over the keys to number 10 with Labour back in command of the polls. Toynbee, still clinging to assumption that Brown is the great socialist leader in waiting, credits the summer’s double-digit poll ratings with Brown. But how could they be Brown’s, he had barely put his posters on the walls when these polls were coming through. Last summer nobody knew what a Brown premiership would be like. How could they be his ratings? All he did in the summer was go on a dinghy in Gloucestershire and tell Andrew Marr that he would deal with the terrorist incidents in Glasgow. That’s it. There’s nothing to indicate how good or bad a PM has is from that.

The autumn was the first major test of Brown as a PM and he failed every test going. He thought and thought and thought and thought some more on whether to hold an early election, to the point where everyone, including those high up in the Labour ranks thought the election was inevitable. Northern Rock collapsed and he threw millions upon millions at it before making the inevitable decision to nationalise. Ok, I could go on, anyone who so much as glances at the Sun every now and then knows this. So what does this mean? It tells us that Brown was not responsible for good poll ratings at the end of last summer, but is responsible for the current disastrous polls.

So has Brown been unlucky? The government could pick up once events are more favourable. But how favourable do events need to be? All leaders have crisis when they are least expected. The only time William Hague edged ahead of Blair was during the fuel blockages. Hague backed the blockages and argued against rises in fuel duty and was duly rewarded in the polls. Less than a year later and a foot and mouth outbreak later, Blair was re-elected with the same size of majority; Hague resigned. They didn’t call him Teflon Tony for nothing. Then two years after a million voters protested over the invasion of Iraq, he won a third term. Blair had many a crisis and each time his leadership enhanced. He had many events go against him, but he weathered each storm and won elections.

This is not the work of an electoral liability that the Labour Party fooled itself into believing: Brown’s propaganda clique fooled it. It took six years of Blair government to suffer resignations over policy. He was undefeated in the Commons in his first two terms. Brown has a spilt cabinet, ministers who wouldn’t vote for him and commons defeats in waiting after less than a year. Blair suffered regular revolts from the so-called awkward squad, a bunch of old leftists who wanted a return to the myths of old Labour. Who is revolting against Brown? Stephen Byers and Stephen Pound; a centrist reformer and the most loyal of loyal MPs. And what are they revolting over? Gordon Brown’s decision to raise income tax on the lowest paid, in order to pay for a middle class subsidy. The lowest paid workers struggling so that middle income voters will be more inclined to vote Labour. That must be the great principal that Toynbee talks about.

The more of a Brown government we have, the more we see the worst of New Labour. The spin, the pandering the Daily Mail, the unprincipled pursuit of middle England, the lack of an overall vision and the opportunism. These have increased under Brown as we watch Cameron waltz’s into Downing Street. Oh, but don’t worry because it was Blair who was the electoral liability.